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No, not really, since spectral estimators suffer from small sample and misspecification biases just as VARs do. Spectral estimators are no panacea for implementing long-run restrictions. In addition, when combining VAR coefficients with non-parametric estimates of the spectral density, care...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128713
This contribution studies the application of heteroskedasticity robust estimation of Vector-Autoregressive (VAR) models. VAR models have become one of the most applied models for the analysis of multivariate time series. Econometric standard software usually provides parameter estimators that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511728
All parameters in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are locally identified when the structural shocks are independent and follow non-Gaussian distributions. Unfortunately, standard inference methods that exploit such features of the data for identification fail to yield correct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053146
This paper examines the heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) estimation of the long-run variance (LRV) matrix of a random vector process in a GMM estimation framework via vector autoregression (VAR) model averaging. By combining a VAR representation of GMM moments and VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920525
A major challenge for proxy vector autoregressive analysis is the construction of a suitable instrument variable for identifying a shock of interest. We propose a simple proxy that can be constructed whenever the dating and sign of particular shocks are known. It is shown that the proxy can lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301348
A major challenge for proxy vector autoregressive analysis is the construction of a suitable external instrument variable or proxy for identifying a shock of interest. Some authors construct sophisticated proxies that account for the dating and size of the shock while other authors consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498418
The shocks in structural vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis are typically assumed to be instantaneously uncorrelated. This condition may easily be violated in proxy VAR models if more than one shock is identified by a proxy variable. Correlated shocks may be obtained even if the proxies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014633772
This paper introduces a exible local projection that generalises the model by Jordà (2005) to a non-parametric setting using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Monte Carlo experiments show that our BART-LP model is able to capture non-linearities in the impulse responses. Our first application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179339
Over the last decade, big data have poured into econometrics, demanding new statistical methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A common approach for addressing dimensionality issues relies on the use of static graphical structures for extracting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868987
In financial time series analysis we encounter several instances of non-negative valued processes (volumes, trades, durations, realized volatility, daily range, and so on) which exhibit clustering and can be modeled as the product of a vector of conditionally autoregressive scale factors and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213980