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In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation … traded at the Mexican Derivatives Exchange (MEXDER). To analyze the VaR with time horizons of more than one trading day … day. However, the volatility persistence of ARCH-type models is reflected with relatively high VaR estimates for longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322620
-at-Risk (VaR) of a stock index futures portfolio for several time horizons. The relevance of the asymmetries in the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616403
-at-Risk (VaR) of a stock index futures portfolio for several time horizons. The relevance of the asymmetries in the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292347
The globalisation on financial markets and the development of financial derivatives has increased not only chances but also potential risk within the banking industry. Especially market risk has gained major significance since market price variation of interest rates, stocks or exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331352
Empirical studies have shown that a large number of financial asset returns exhibit fat tails and are often characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274140
considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for individual as well as ?average? models and its exact … and asymptotic properties are established. The model averaging idea and the VaR diagnostic tests are illustrated by an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276158
management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …, dealing with the possibility of parameter uncertainty, are established. The model averaging idea and the VaR diagnostic tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276219
Value-at-Risk (VaR). In this paper, we evaluate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ESF) in financial markets … portfolio (Bayer, Siemens and Volkswagen). Classical VaR estimation methodology such as exponential moving average (EMA) as well …-step ahead VaR and ESF for short and long positions than short memory models. This suggests that for proper risk valuation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860751
Value-at-Risk (VaR). The multivariate normal framework provides a simple off-the-shelf methodology but lacks the heavy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861845
We propose a new dynamic model for volatility and dependence in high dimensions, that allows for departuresfrom the normal distribution, both in the marginals and in the dependence. The dependence is modeled with adynamic canonical vine copula, which can be decomposed into a cascade of bivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868499