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Trimmed-mean Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation does not clearly dominate ex-food-and-energy PCE … inflation in real-time forecasting of headline PCE inflation. However, trimmed-mean inflation is the superior communications and … policy tool because it is a less-biased real-time estimator of headline inflation and because it more successfully filters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030059
. The paper also proposes devising a core inflation measure for inflation targeting in Egypt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725029
This paper evaluates the usefulness of various measures of core inflation for the conduct of monetary policy …. Traditional exclusion-based measures of core inflation are found to perform relatively poorly across a range of evaluation … move with macroeconomic drivers. All measures of core inflation, however, have limitations - consequently, there is merit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373736
Textbooks of macroeconomics regularly remind their readers that they should not interpret the macroeconomic price variable as some sort of average price. Instead it represents some price index indicating the average of the individual items' price changes between the period considered and some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356094
development of measures of underlying, or core, inflation that are designed to remove transitory price changes from aggregate … inflation data. Given the usefulness of this information to policymakers, there is a surprising lack of consensus on a preferred … measure of U.S. core inflation. This article examines several proposed measures of core inflation - the popular ex food and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728477
This paper provides a review of the concept of core inflation and evaluates the performance of several proposed … measures. We first consider the rationale of a central bank in setting its inflation goal in terms of a selected rate of … consumer price growth and the use of a core inflation measure as a means of achieving this long-term policy objective. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734815
(permanent change in the mean inflation rate). These datasets were used to test the performance of alternative underlying … inflation measures. We found that the benchmark underlying inflation measures (based on unobserved trend extraction) are more … underlying inflation measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869836
​We apply several tests to the underlying inflation metrics used in practice by central banks and/or proposed in the … measure of underlying inflation, indicators calculated on the basis of dynamic factor models are generally among the best …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017229
well as the improvements made to this measure of inflation since 2003 – finds that the HICP continues to fulfil the … replacement and quality adjustment. Such measures may also help reduce the measurement bias that still exists in the HICP. Overall …, a knowledge gap concerning the exact size of the measurement bias of the HICP remains, which calls for further research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626725
This paper proposes a tractable New Keynesian (NK) economy with endogenous adjustment in product quality that nests the canonical framework. Endogenous quality choice reduces the slope of the traditional NK Phillips curve and amplifies the economy's response to productivity shocks. This leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247090