Ziel der vorliegenden Arbeit ist es zu prüfen, inwieweit unterschiedliche Varianten berechenbarer dynamischer Gleichgewichtsmodelle die empirische Evidenz zum monetären Transmissionsmechanismus nachbilden. Die zentrale Frage dieser Arbeit, inwieweit nominale Rigiditäten zu Trägheiten des...

This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and the four preceding NBER-dated U.S. recessions. We generate forecasts from six different models of the U.S. economy and compare them to professional forecasts from the Federal...

This paper asks the question: Why has the "general-to-specific" cointegrated VAR approach as developed in Europe had only limited success in the US as a tool for doing empirical macroeconomics, where what might be called a "theory comes first" approach dominates? The reason this paper highlights...