We examine the response of U.S. (VIX) and German (VDAX) implied volatility indices to the announcement of interest rate policy decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the European Central Bank (ECB). We present new findings that indicate that VDAX declines on FOMC meeting days,...

This paper identifies anticipated (news) and unanticipated (surprise) shocks to the U.S. Fed Funds rate using Fed Funds futures contracts, and assesses their propagation to emerging economies. Anticipated shocks are identified as the expected change in the Fed Funds rate orthogonal to expected...

This paper investigates how heterogeneous sentiments and perspectives expressed in public online media about the abolition of the Chinese presidential term limit in 2018 may have caused a divergence in investor behavior between the U.S. and China. We document that sentiments expressed in social...