Economic theory identifies two potential sources of return predictability: time variation in expected returns (beta-predictability) or market inefficiencies (alpha-predictability). For the latter, Samuelson argued that macro-returns exhibit more inefficiencies than micro-returns, as individual...

Jegadeesh (1990) examines the serial correlation in monthly stock returns and tests its economic significance by designing three trading strategies. In this study, we follow his research design to compare the security return predictability between US market and China market. The findings suggest...

Demand is growing for a better understanding of how assets are priced in countries outside of the U.S. While financial data are available for many firms world-wide, it is important to have a reliable and replicable method of constructing high-quality systematic risk factors from these data. This...

A major obstacle for research in international asset pricing and corporate finance has been a lack of reliable and publicly available data on international common risk factors and portfolios. To address this gap, we provide a step-by-step description of how appropriately screened data from...

In order to examine non-linear predictability of the US and Japanese dividend-yield ratio, smooth transition regression model analysis is applied to an extended time period of data. The theoretical basis for investigating non-linear behaviour in stock returns can be based on the interaction...

This paper aims to examine the contemporaneous relationship between trading volume and returns in the ETF market taking the stock market as a contrast. While past research using correlation analysis and OLS method to specify a linear regression model only catches the average relationship between...

We demonstrate that firm-specific momentum profits are predictable across a wide range of international equity markets when combining information given in a multitude of stock characteristics. This predictor is comparatively simple to compute and can yield significant positive out-of-sample...

This paper compares the forecasting and hedging performance of 11 CAPM beta estimators across 54 international stock markets. The Welch (2022) age-decayed slope-winsorized beta estimator ranks first in predicting future realized OLS betas in 46 markets and is always within the top 3 performers....