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The aim of this paper is to investigate the degree of susceptibility to behavioral biases (the certainty effect, the sunk cost fallacy, and mental accounting) among people of various levels of expertise in market investments and to determine whether this susceptibility is correlated with certain...
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If we reassess the rationality question under the assumption that the uncertainty of the natural world is largely … theory of ecological rationality. The main casualty of this rebuilding process is optimality. Once we view optimality as a … formal implication of quantified uncertainty rather than an ecologically meaningful objective, the rationality question …
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Previous empirical evidence which evaluated the accuracy of management earnings or sales forecasts consistently revealed these forecasts to be on average significantly overoptimistic. However, all studies analyzed forecasts from public disclosures, which are an important signal to investors and...
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