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The over/underconfidence behavior has been explained as a bias of the cognitive process in the decision maker. Such bias has been mainly justified by the difficulty of the task or the problem to decide upon. It’s the so called 'hard-easy effect' (Lichtenstein and Fischhoff, 1977). In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204693
In an experiment that elicits subjects’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the outcome of a lottery, we confirm the fourfold pattern of risk attitudes described by Kahneman and Tversky. In addition, we document a systematic effect of stake sizes on the magnitude and sign of the relative risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077011
We report an experiment that infers true overconfidence in relative ability through actions, as opposed to reported beliefs. Subjects choose how to invest earnings from a skill task when the returns depend solely upon risk, or both risk and relative placement, enabling joint estimation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962309
Optimistic beliefs affect important areas of economic decision making, yet direct knowledge on how belief biases operate remains limited. To better understand these biases I introduce a theoretical framework that trades off anticipatory benefits against two potential costs of forming biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904062
This paper presents a nonparametric approach to classification of data from lottery experiments. Using very basic mathematical tools the paper endeavors to answer the questions: How to determine the "average" subject in a group? How to find a subject presenting the most similar behavior to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141177
The house-money effect – people's tendency to be more daring with easily-gotten money – is a behavioral pattern that poses questions about the external validity of experiments in economics: to what extent do people behave in experiments like they would have in a real-life situation, given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147749
This short paper shows that the Allais Paradox and the Common Ratio Effect - regarded as classic examples of the violation of the Expected Utility Theory Axioms - may be easily explained by assuming that changes in wealth (i.e. gains and losses) are perceived in relative terms. The preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153294
We propose that there are three determinants of sender behavior in trust games: Beliefs re-garding the amounts returned, risk aversion, and reciprocity. Particularly, we are interested in the role of reciprocity because the possibility of negative expected reciprocal utility may lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056469
We explore the individual and joint explanatory power of concepts from economics, psychology, and criminology for criminal behavior. More precisely, we consider risk and time preferences, personality traits from psychology (Big Five and locus of control), and a self-control scale from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060138
Absentmindedness is a special case of imperfect recall which according to Piccione and Rubinstein (1997a) leads to time inconsistencies. Aumann, Hart and Perry (1997a) question their argument and show how dynamic inconsistencies can be resolved. The present paper explores this issue from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980493