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This paper investigates whether partisan conflict can predict the cryptocurrency return and volatility. First, we find that the change rate of the partisan conflict can predict positively (negatively) the cryptocurrency return (volatility), Bitcoin in particular. Moreover, the findings still...
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In this paper, we investigate whether the Bitcoin return can predict the electricity net generation in the United States. By utilizing the data from February 2014 to July 2019, we find that higher Bitcoin return leads to a higher electricity net generation via the possible channel that increases...
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We investigate whether the global economic activity (GEA) index provided by Kilian (2009) can predict the dynamics of the cryptocurrency. First, we find that the lagged two-month GEA index can predict positively the cryptocurrency monthly returns, especially for Bitcoin. It implies that the...
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