We perform a large simulation study to examine the extent to which various generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models capture extreme events in stock market returns. We estimate Hill's tail indexes for individual S&P 500 stock market returns ranging from 1995-2014...

In this paper, we investigate the goodness-of-fit of the flexible four-parameter generalized Lambda Distribution (GLD) for high-frequency 5-min returns sampled from the DJI30 Index. Applying Moment Matching (MM) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) techniques, we highlight the significance of...

Sudden jumps in the stock market have a significant impact on consumers’ wealth. A market crash, in particular, can devastate lives and destabilize the entire economy. Therefore, it would be desirable if consumers, policy makers, and financial intermediaries could better anticipate such...