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Default probability is a fundamental variable determining the credit worthiness of a firm and equity volatility estimation plays a key role in its evaluation. Assuming a structural credit risk modeling approach, we study the impact of choosing different non parametric equity volatility...
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We test whether a simple measure of corporate insolvency based on equity return volatility - and denoted as Distance to … Insolvency (DI) - delivers better predictions of corporate default than the widely-used Expected Default Frequency (EDF) measure …
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We explore the dynamics of default cascades in a network of credit interlinkages in which each agent is at the same time a borrower and a lender. When some counterparties of an agent default, the loss she experiences amounts to her total exposure to those counterparties. A possible conjecture in...
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