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the estimation, we find that the volatility of the return and the jump probability were significantly higher after 27 …
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provided between frequentist and Bayesian estimation. No significant difference is found between the qualities of the forecasts …
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We study the tail distributions of multi-day index returns across a variety of asset classes. Fitting power laws to the tail distributions, we find tail indices in the range [2-4] for all underlyings, for returns up to 250 days. We also find that the power laws can not be statistically ruled out...
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