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Forecasting macroeconomic variables under model instability

Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 35 (2017) 2, pp. 183-201

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704162

Macroeconomic forecasting performance under alternative specifications of time-varying volatility

Clark, Todd E.; Ravazzolo, Francesco - In: Journal of applied econometrics 30 (2015) 4, pp. 551-575

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332869

Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility

Marcellino, Massimiliano; Porqueddu, Mario; Venditti, … - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 1, pp. 118-127

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233

Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs

Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 3, pp. 375-390

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691646

Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility

Diebold, Francis X.; Schorfheide, Frank; Shin, Minchul - 2017 - This Version: August 18, 2016

Recent work has analyzed the forecasting performance of standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, but little attention has been given to DSGE models that incorporate nonlinearities in exogenous driving processes. Against that background, we explore whether incorporating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755749