An accurate weather forecast is the basis for the valuation of weather derivatives, securities that partially compensate for financial losses to holders in case of, from their perspective, adverse outside temperature. The paper analyses precision of two forecast models of average daily...

With the increasing share of volatile renewable energies, weather prediction becomes more important to electricity markets. The weather-driven uncertainty of renewable forecast errors could have price increasing impacts. This research sets up an analytic model to show that the day-ahead optimal...

Diese Dissertation untersucht die Messung finanzieller Risiken und besteht aus vier eigenständigen Forschungspapieren über die Analyse, Modellierung und Vorhersage solcher Risiken in verschiedenen wirtschaftlichen Szenarien. Die gegenwärtigen Risikomaße ignorieren größtenteils das...

A simple consumption-based two-period model is used to study the (theoretical)effects of disagreement on asset prices. Analytical and numerical results showthat individual uncertainty has a much larger effect on risk premia than disagreementif (i) the risk aversion is reasonably high and (ii)...