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We develop a zero beta industry model of growth options to explain the conflicting empirical findings on the relation between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109188
The paper builds up a macro function of investment to capture various key determinants and explore the intricate determination mechanism of aggregate investment. It explicates the basic trend determinant of investment, locates the cause of investment volatility and identifies the magnifier of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899004
Empirical studies showed that firm-level volatility has been increasing but the aggregate volatility has been decreasing in the US for the post-war period. This paper proposes a unified explanation for these diverging trends. Our explanation is based on a story of financial development -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208300
Countries with more developed financial markets (as measured by the private debt-to-GDP ratio) tend to have significantly lower aggregate volatility. This relationship is also highly non-linear starting from a low level of financial development the reduction in aggregate volatility by financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088166
This paper studies the choice between general and specific human capital. A trade-off arises because general human capital, while less productive, can easily be reallocated across firms. Accordingly, the fraction of individuals with specific human capital depends on the amount of uncertainty in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279970
This paper describes an equilibrium life-cycle model of housing where nonconvex adjustment costs lead households to adjust their housing choice infrequently and by large amounts when they do so. In the cross-sectional dimension, the model matches the wealth distribution; the age profiles of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280939
This paper proposes and tests a model of firm valuation under incompleteinformation that explains the ambiguous relation between idiosyncratic volatilityand stock returns. Specifically, we show that, when investors have incompleteinformation, expected returns as measured by an econometrician...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868984
We investigate the effect of uncertainty on investment. We employ a unique dataset of 25000 Greek firms' balance sheets for 14 years covering the period before and after the eurozone crisis. A dynamic factor model is employed to proxy uncertainty. The investment performance of 14 sectors is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060122
This paper describes an equilibrium life-cycle model of housing where nonconvex adjustment costs lead households to adjust their housing choice infrequently and by large amounts when they do so. In the cross-sectional dimension, the model matches the wealth distribution; the age profiles of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003906135
When investors have incomplete information, expected returns, as measured by an econometrician, deviate from those predicted by standard asset pricing models by including a term that is the product of the stock's idiosyncratic volatility and the investors' aggregated forecast errors. If...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962073