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Unexpected shifts in the realized stock market volatility, often associated with financial crises, carry a significantly negative risk premium across stocks and Treasuries, which suggests the existence of a unified pricing model. Investors require a premium for holding the risky assets (stocks),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906213
This paper examines the idiosyncratic volatility (IV) puzzle in the Indian stock market for the period 1999–2014. Univariate and bivariate sorting, as well as cross-section regressions, suggest a positive relation between idiosyncratic volatility and future stock returns. However, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887525
The paper evaluates the out-of-sample predictive potential of machine learning methods in the cross-section of international equity index returns using firm fundamentals and macroeconomic predictors. The relatively small number of equity indices in the cross-section compared to the multitude of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846997
We present a statistic to generally represent extremes in the distribution of temperature anomalies and demonstrate its consequences on financial markets. The diverse shocks that our measure portrays are established to be primary drivers of electricity consumption and the weather futures market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306959
This paper decomposes the risk premia of individual stocks into contributions from systematic and idiosyncratic risks. I introduce an affine jump-diffusion model, which accounts for both the factor structure of asset returns and that of the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917
By exploiting the flexibility of the Wishart process, we propose an application of this framework to the pricing of Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) volatility index (VIX) options. Our methodology is analytically tractable and yet flexible enough to efficiently price CBOE VIX options. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989064
In this paper we propose a novel flexible framework based on time changed Lévy process for the joint evolution of stock log-returns and their volatility with the aim of analysing which risk factors and which distribution features provide a robust calibration, repricing and hedging performance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933831
We study the temporal behavior of the cross-sectional distribution of assets' market exposure, or betas, using a large panel of high-frequency returns. The asymptotic setup has the sampling frequency of returns increasing to infinity, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598456
We study the term structure of variance swaps, equity and variance risk premia. A model-free analysis reveals a significant price jump component in variance swap rates. A model-based analysis shows that investors' willingness to ensure against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859