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Over the last decade, the microstructure approach to exchange rates has become very popular. The underlying idea of this approach is that the order flows at different levels of aggregation contain valuable information to explain exchange rate movements. The bulk of empirical literature has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322440
In this paper bilateral models formalizing monthly growth of US imports and exports are employed to investigate the potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well as semiparametric time series models are evaluated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns focusing on the Asian crisis in 97-98 and the Global crisis in 08-09. By using the daily KRW-USD and JPY-USD exchange rates which have different trading regions and volumes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006577
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns focusing on the Asian crisis in 97-98 and the Global crisis in 08-09. By using the daily KRW-USD and JPY-USD exchange rates which have different trading regions and volumes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197
The behavior of the real exchange rate, measuring movements in the relative consumer price indexes between countries, remains a prominent puzzle in international macroeconomics. Two key theories of the real exchange rate differ in the role played by goods not traded internationally. On one hand,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322571
The exchange rate between the Naira and other currencies has continued to witness variability with depreciation. This variability makes it difficult to predict returns. Against this background, this paper examines the naira exchange rate vis-a-vis four other currencies. The impact of exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661515
-varying volatility of the data generating process can have rather adverse effects when inferring about its persistence; e.g. unit root …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375374
standard information criteria, volatility persistence and the log likelihood statistic, showed that results improved with … of volatility breaks reduces the level of persistence in most of the models. The study recommends the incorporation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
volatility and persistence using the Hurst exponent. We determined the peaks, downturns and duration of the money laundering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221542
for many countries. However, estimating the underlying trend has proven to be difficult, given the persistence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265553