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We propose a simple class of semiparametric multivariate GARCH models, allowing for asymmetric volatilities and time-varying conditional correlations. Estimates for time-varying conditional correlations are constructed by means of a convex combination of estimates for averaged correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858366
The situation of a limited availability of historical data is frequently encountered in portfolio risk estimation, especially in credit risk estimation. This makes it, for example, difficult to find temporal structures with statistical significance in the data on the single asset level. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295926
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this articleit is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325752
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this article it is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325989
We propose a flexible GARCH-type model for the prediction of volatility in financial time series. The approach relies on the idea of using multivariate B-splines of lagged observations and volatilities. Estimation of such a B-spline basis expansion is constructed within the likelihood framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051065
This paper develops the idea of renewal time sampling, a novel sampling scheme constructed from stopping times of semimartingales. Based on this new sampling scheme we propose a class of volatility estimators named renewal based volatility estimators. In this paper we show that: (1) The spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116287
Covered bonds are a specific example of senior secured debt. If the issuer of the bonds defaults the proceeds of the assets in the cover pool are used for their debt service. If in this situation the cover pool proceeds do not suffice for the debt service, the creditors of the bonds have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004666
This paper compares the empirical performance of continuous time models for the dynamics of nine different implied volatility indices. The models include linear, quadratic and nonlinear drift specifications with affine, constant elasticity of variance (CEV) and stochastic elasticity of variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023052
We obtain the link between the Laplace transform of the price process and that of the volatility process in the context of a Brownian semi-martingale model. Relying on this result, we build a new nonparametric estimator of the instantaneous volatility which efficiently reconstructs the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027235
Extensions of Empirical Characteristic Function (ECF) method for estimating parameters of affine jump-diffusions with unobserved stochastic volatility (SV) are considered. We develop a new approach based on a bias-corrected ECF for the Realized Variance (in the case of diffusions) and Bipower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034280