Showing 1 - 10 of 413
This paper studies the effects of financial speculation on commodity futures returns, using publicly available data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, aggregated by trader groups. We exploit the heteroskedasticity in the weekly data to identify exogenous variation in speculators'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961337
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex-post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. We provide evidence that oil prices declined in a relatively measured manner during 2014/15, with the dispersion of price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024078
This study investigates the possible Granger-causal relations between stock price volatility and dividend dynamics on the one hand, and speculation and unemployment on the other. The analysis is carried out for the US over the period 1982-2018. Stock price volatility is calculated in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288289
This paper studies the effects of financial speculation on commodity futures returns, using publicly available data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, aggregated by trader groups. We exploit the heteroskedasticity in the weekly data to identify exogenous variation in speculators'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619592
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010372668
particular, we focus on the 2000 DotCom Bubble, the 2008 Housing Crisis, and the 2015 Chinese Bubble. We employ three main … the DotCom bubble there was very limited spillover between the S&P 500, the Shanghai, and the Shenzhen Composite Indexes … Chinese Bubble. Together, these results highlight the fact that as financial markets have become more globalized, there are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587643
This paper provides new empirical evidence on housing bubble timing, volatility spillover, and bubble contagion between … the multivariate time-varying DCC-GARCH model. Third, we assess bubble contagion by estimating a non-parametric model of … bubble migration with time-varying coefficients. We document two historical bubble episodes from 1970 to 2018 in Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622423
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170656
bubble in any stock market (bourse) across the geographical boundaries. This study examines forty two bourses (representing … embedded volatility, herd behaviour and nascent bubble. Overall the volatility distribution has been found to be Gaussian in … percent of indices under consideration showed traces of mild herd as well as bubble. The same indices were all found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305755
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011699764