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This study was carried out to estimate underlying inflation in Nigeria using Unobserved Component (UC) model. Also, different channels were used to identify the source of inflation persistence and volatility. This was estimated using Bayesian analysis in order to examine the role of priors in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825374
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows current asset returns to be asymmetric conditional on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047692
We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes between the jump and continuous time components of price movements using nonparametric realized variation and Bipower variation measures constructed from high-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217079
The advent of close to zero or even negative rates in major currencies has made the traditional lognormal Black-Scholes-Merton volatility as a representation of option prices in the interest rate market obsolete. Recently more and more cap/floor and even swaption prices in major currencies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003045
Range-based volatility estimators are analyzed in both daily and intraday sampling frequency and are also compared to the realized volatility estimator. The family of realized range-based estimators is extended as three range-based estimators are introduced. These three realized Parkinson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029272
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic forecasting in recent decades. This chapter provides a selective survey of the most important theoretical developments and empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023691
This paper proposes the new concept of stochastic leverage in stochastic volatility models.Stochastic leverage refers to a stochastic process which replaces the classical constant correlation parameter between the asset return and the stochastic volatility process. We provide a systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134680
We consider the problems of derivative pricing and inference when the stochastic discount factor has an exponential-affine form and the geometric return of the underlying asset has a dynamics characterized by a mixture of conditionally Normal processes. We consider both the static case in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137349
In this paper, we present advanced analytical formulas for SABR model option pricing. The first technical result consists of a new exact formula for the zero correlation case. This closed form is a simple 2D integration of elementary functions, particularly attractive for numerical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108810
Using positive semidefinite supOU (superposition of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type) processes to describe the volatility, we introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for financial data which is capable of modelling long range dependence effects. The finiteness of moments and the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156185