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The "leverage effect" refers to the well-established relationship between stock returns and both implied and realized volatility: volatility increases when the stock price falls. A standard explanation ties the phenomenon to the effect a change in market valuation of a firm's equity has on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005846843
This paper studies the effects of investors’ heterogeneous beliefs on the trading volume,price volatility, and liquidity of stocks. Following Kurz and Motolese (2008), wepropose a simple theoretical model to show that the equilibrium stock price is linearlyand positively correlated with market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305076
This paper proposes a new approach to infer a firm-specific measure of the implied cost of capital. It incorporates endogenously estimated industry-year growth rate of the net present value of future investments. It requires only one-year-ahead forecasts of earnings, and dividend payout policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007706
We provide evidence suggesting that the assumption on the probability distribution for return innovations is more influential for Value at Risk (VaR) performance than the conditional volatility specification. We also show that some recently proposed asymmetric probability distributions and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949316
This research considers the strategies on the initial public offering of company equity at the stock exchanges in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the nonlinearities. We provide the IPO definition and compare the initial listing requirements on the various markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026463
In this work we introduce the notion of implied Core Equity Tier 1 volatility and the concept of a risk-adjusted distance to trigger. Using a derivatives-based valuation approach, we are able to derive the implied CET1 volatility from the market price of a CoCo bond in a Black-Scholes setting....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026772
We propose a risk-based firm-type explanation on why stocks of firms with high relative short interest (RSI) have lower future returns. We argue that these firms have negative alphas because they are a hedge against expected aggregate volatility risk. Consistent with this argument, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037671
The paper explains why firms with high dispersion of analyst forecasts earn low future returns. These firms beat the CAPM in periods of increasing aggregate volatility and thereby provide a hedge against aggregate volatility risk. The aggregate volatility risk factor can explain the abnormal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039417
This study examines the sensitivity of the Thai stock market to nominal and real interest rate, and exchange rate risks during January 2004 and December 2015 using quantile regression. The analysis focuses on sectoral level and one main index in the stock market. The empirical results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989457
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108