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We develop a discrete-time stochastic volatility option pricing model, which exploits the informationcontained in high-frequency data. The Realized Volatility (RV) is used as a proxy of the unobservablelog-returns volatility. We model its dynamics by a simple but effective long-memory process:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486857
This paper studies modelling and existence issues for market models of option prices in a continuous-time framework with one stock, one bond and a family of European call options for one fixed maturity and all strikes. After arguing that (classical) implied volatilities are ill-suited for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858204
The main result of the paper is a formula for zero time-to-maturity limit ofimplied volatilities of European options under a broad class of stochastic volatilitymodels. Based on this formula, we propose a closed-form approximation of theimplied volatility smile.[...]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868991
The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in which expected endowment growth and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292171
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301798
This paper shows that the VIX market contains information on the variance of the S&P 500 returns, which is not already spanned by the S&P 500 market. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. We find that including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256394
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a downward sloping term structure of low-frequency variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
We derive analytic series representations for European option prices in polynomial stochastic volatility models. This includes the Jacobi, Heston, Stein-Stein, and Hull-White models, for which we provide numerical case studies. We find that our polynomial option price series expansion performs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870651
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as volatility smile. They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275907
We introduce a novel stochastic volatility model where the squared volatility of the asset return follows a Jacobi process. It contains the Heston model as a limit case. We show that the joint density of any finite sequence of log returns admits a Gram-Charlier A expansion with closed-form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516036