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We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798791
In the presence of dispersed information, agents may decide to take into account the actions of other agents because of the possible additional information conveyed by these actions. We call the act of using other agents' actions in the individual decision process social learning. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489440
We investigate the impact of agent communication networks on prices in an artificial stock market. Networks with different centralization measures are tested for their effect on the volatility of prices. Trading strategies diffuse through the different network topologies, mimetic contagion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511655
Properly estimating correlations and understanding how they change under different economic conditions plays a key role in asset pricing models, risk management, and many econometric models. In this paper we introduce a robust framework to identify a meaningful correlation relationship, address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904056
The Industrial sectors have their unique place in the economic interlinkage. The sectoral valuation reflected by each sector indices shows how each sector responds to different events. The exogenous event Covid-19 impact has been differential due to the impact of lockdown and other Covid-19...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296468
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission along the euro area money market yield curve. A new multivariate unobserved components model is proposed allowing for both long-memory and stationary cyclical dynamics. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
In this paper we analyze in what way the demand generated by dynamic hedging strategies affects the equilibrium prices of the underlying asset. We derive an explicit expression for the transformation of market volatility under the impact of hedging. It turns out that market volatility increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005841370
The identification of the forces that drive stock returns and the dynamics of their associated volatilities is a major concern in empirical economics and finance. This analysis is particularly relevant for determining optimal hedging strategies based on whether shocks to the volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324953
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock price indexes. Forecasts produced by each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
The recent introduction of the realized variance measure defined as the sum of the squared intra-daily returns stamped on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new directions. First, the realized variance is a much better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102