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Commodity terms of trade (CTOT) volatility is positively associated with sovereign credit spreads, leading to a higher cost of capital for producers in commodity-dependent countries. In this paper, we examine how volatile CTOT influences industries’ growth performance based on sector-level...
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This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
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breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration relation between the government revenues and spending. The results did … difficulties in financing its debts in the long run. Lastly, the short run and long run Granger causality results, while providing …
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