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We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 countries. We elicit subjective probability distributions for future own-firm sales and measure firm-level uncertainty with their mean absolute deviations. Analogously, we...
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We propose a spatial approach for modeling risk spillovers using financial time-varying proximity matrices based on … observable networks. We show how these methods could be useful in (i) isolating risk channels, risk spreaders and risk receivers …, (ii) investigating the role of portfolio composition in risk transfer, and (iii) computing target exposure structures able …
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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
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