Showing 1 - 10 of 3,339
We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets … by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic … 5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
We present a framework to identify market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and …-lasting increases in implied volatility, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we find both landfall uncertainty and … potential impact uncertainty are reflected before landfall in the options of exposed firms. However, comparing ex ante expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847804
We present a framework to identify market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and …-lasting increases in implied volatility, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we find both landfall uncertainty and … potential impact uncertainty are reflected before landfall in the options of exposed firms. However, comparing ex ante expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850911
and transmission pathway of CCRR proxies (green index, carbon price, general and climate uncertainty) on US Small Minus … energy innovation industry (green companies) and climate policy uncertainty are drivers of the transmission spillover network …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406460
In this paper we study the short term price behavior of December 2008 future prices for EU emissionallowances. We model returns and volatility dynamics of this price showing that a standard ARMA-GARCHframework is not adequate and that the gaussianity assumption is rejected due to the occurrence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868650
Given global heterogeneity in climate-induced agricultural variability, Tanzania has the potential to substantially increase its maize exports to other countries. If global maize production is lower than usual due to supply shocks in major exporting regions, Tanzania may be able to export more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319906
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about … assuming that the random walk of economic growth is affected by some parametric uncertainty. We show that the same arguments … investment is larger than half of relative risk aversion. Another important consequence of parametric uncertainty is that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291529
The COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a remarkable impact on stock market volatility around the globe. Can vaccination programs revert these adverse effects? To answer this question, we scrutinize daily data from 66 countries from January 1st, 2020, to February 18th, 2021. We provide convincing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236020
This paper tests the implications of the model developed by Acemoglu and Zilibotti [Daron Acemoglu and Fabrizio Zilibotti, 1997. Was Prometheus unbound by chance? Risk, diversification and growth. Journal of Political Economy 41, 709-51.] which demonstrated a central role for luck - in the form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090611
Mitigating climate change will require integrating large amounts of highly intermittent renewable energy (RE) sources in future electricity markets. Considerable uncertainties exist about the cost and availability of future large-scale storage to alleviate the potential mismatch between demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894174