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Forward foreign exchange contracts embed not only expected depreciation but also a sizable premium, which complicates inferences about anticipated returns. This study derives arbitrage-free affine forward currency models (AFCMs) with closed-form expressions for both unobservable variables. Model...
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This paper uses a risk-averse formulation of the uncovered interest rate parity to determine exchange rates through interest rate differentials, and ultimately extract currency risk premia. The method proposed consists of developing an affine Arbitrage-Free class of dynamic Nelson-Siegel term...
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DIE METHODISCHE GRUNDLEGUNG -- AUSGANGSBASIS: DIE BESTEHENDE ZINSSTRUKTURKURVE -- DIE ÄLTEREN THEORIEN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR … -- DIE GRUNDMODELLE DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE DETERMINISTISCHEN FAKTOREN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE SUBSTITUTIVEN … ARBITRAGEPROZESSE ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE STOCHASTISCHEN VOLATILITÄTEN DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- ERKLÄRUNGS- & PROGNOSEMODELL ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR. …
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