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: (i) monetary volatility negatively affects long-run growth; (ii) the relation between nominal volatility and growth … increases the negative effect of nominal volatility on mean growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343890
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
This paper studies the volatility implications of anticipated cost-push shocks (i.e. news shocks) in a New Keynesian …), anticipated cost-push shocks lead to a higher (lower) volatility in the output gap and in the central bank’s loss than an … unanticipated shock of the same size. The inversion of the volatility effects of news shocks between rational and boundedly rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390502
Most analyses of the U.S. Great Moderation have been based on structural VAR methods, and have consistently pointed towards good luck as the main explanation for the greater macroeconomic stability of recent years. Based on an estimated New-Keynesian model in which the only source of change is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316598
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US … suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about … these volatility effects are driven by the coexistence of agents' fears of unemployment and concerns about the (in) ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
consistent with the data. Banking regulation, while stabilizing at the aggregate level, may induce volatility at the household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480275
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134144
business cycle inflation volatility observable in the data. In addition, we contribute to the theoretical literature by … prove that the monotonic relationship between steady state inflation level and business cycle inflation volatility holds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137897
of high volatility compared to periods of low volatility, using a regime-switching vector autoregression. The lower … that is weaker in high volatility periods. To rationalize our robust empirical results, we use a macroeconomic model in … volatility of aggregate shocks. In low volatility periods, banks lever up, which makes their balance sheets more sensitive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564503