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"This paper develops a theory of expectations-driven business cycles based on learning. Agents have incomplete … series is captured, unlike in standard models. Inherited from real business cycle theory, the benchmark model suffers a …
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When investors have incomplete information, expected returns, as measured by an econometrician, deviate from those predicted by standard asset pricing models by including a term that is the product of the stock's idiosyncratic volatility and the investors' aggregated forecast errors. If...
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