Intraday and high frequency time series are mostly defined by a non-continuous prices process. This paper introduces an integer based ARMA model found to be a better predictor for absolute intraday price changes than continuous time estimators (such as GARCH or multiplicative error models)....

This paper examines the value that can potentially be created by a vertically integrating energy system. Integration entails operational gains that must be traded off against the requisite cost of capacity investments. In the context of our model, the operational gains are subject to inherent...

It is well documented that business cycles of developed countries are characterised by persistent output fluctuations, and this has been the subject of much theoretical interest. However, the case for developing countries has been somewhat neglected in the literature. This paper addresses this...

This paper investigates the link between a firm's customer-base concentration and stock return volatility. We find that firms with more concentrated customer bases have higher idiosyncratic volatility. Further, we show significant variation in customer-base concentration effects across customer...

This study shows that shocks to firm’s returns affect direct customers more than direct suppliers. However, indirect customers and indirect suppliers are affected by an economically similar magnitude. This finding casts doubt on the propagation of supply shocks downstream only

This paper considers the nature and the distribution of trade and FDI effects of a potential enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) to the 10 countries that obtained EU membership in 2004. One-way and two-way error component gravity models are estimated using a data set of unbalanced...

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...