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effective MCMC algorithm for its richer variants. The empirical analysis shows the effectiveness of filtering and smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903114
We propose a consistent and computationally efficient 2-step methodology for the estimation of multidimensional non-Gaussian asset models built using Lévy processes. The proposed framework allows for dependence between assets and different tail-behaviors and jump structures for each asset. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937321
The influence of past stock price movements on volatilities and correlations is essential for understanding diversification and contagion in financial markets. We develop a model that makes the influence of past returns on volatilities and correlations explicit. Employing information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101094
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913510
Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
We extend the double-well potential process to a three-parameter version in order to model intraday price dynamics, with a focus on the intraday momentum and reversal. The proposed process has a parsimonious form of three parameters controlling momentum, reversal, and volatility respectively. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868934
simulation analysis is conducted to (i) test the performance of alternative non-parametric equity volatility estimators in their …-parametric volatility estimators on risk evaluation is not negligible: a sensitivity analysis defined for alternative values of the leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506497
We propose a moving average stochastic volatility in mean model and a moving average stochastic volatility model with leverage. For parameter estimation, we develop efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and illustrate our methods, using simulated data and a real data set. We compare the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956581
In the present paper we consider the Quasi Maximum Likelihood (QML) procedure for the estimation of stationary Stochastic Volatility models. We prove the consistency of the QML estimators and compute explicitly their asymptotic variances. This allows us to obtain also consistent estimators of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029090
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958968