The study applies a BEKK GARCH-M model to examine the effect of uncertainty on the levels of inflation and output … output growth, supporting the Friedman’s (1977) hypothesis of a negative effect of inflation uncertainty on output growth …. Uncertainty about growth does not have a significant effect on both the levels of inflation and output growth. The evidence in …

Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled … indicator for inflation uncertainty. Moreover, the idiosyncratic component of survey disagreement contains systematic … that higher inflation is followed by higher uncertainty. By contrast, we obtain contradictory results for the individual …

In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …

inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …

This paper investigates persistence of Swiss consumer price inflation using aggregate and disaggregate inflation data … covering 1983-2008. We document that persistence of sectoral inflation rates is below persistence of aggregate inflation. Our … main finding is that inflation persistence significantly declines in the early 1990s. An estimated factor model reveals …

This paper carries out another evaluation on a highly debated property of inflation dynamics, namely its persistence …. We study inflation dynamics for the United States since 1959 with a time-varying methodology where the intercept … remarkably low end-of-sample estimates for inflation persistence …

This paper investigates the effect of inflation uncertainty innovations on inflation over time by considering the … monthly United States data for the time period 1976-2006. In order to investigate the effect of inflation uncertainty … innovation on inflation, a Stochastic Volatility in Mean model (SVM) has been employed. SVM models are generally used to capture …

structural changes would provide a good empirical description of the classical model of inflation for Spain over this long period …. The principle testable implication is that money growth and inflation are cointegrated, ruling out speculative bubbles in … the Spanish inflation rates. …

In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation …-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures … time horizons. These results have implications for short-term inflation forecasts. By estimating confidence intervals in …

This paper investigates persistence of Swiss consumer price inflation using aggregate and disaggregate inflation data … covering 1983-2008. We document that persistence of sectoral inflation rates is below persistence of aggregate inflation. Our … main finding is that inflation persistence significantly declines in the early 1990s. An estimated factor model reveals …