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In this paper we compared two distinct volatility forecasting approaches. GARCH models were contrasted to the models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786890
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654447
Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011861404
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720755
This paper proposes a generalization of the class of realized semivariance and semicovariance measures introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen, Kinnebrock and Shephard (2010) and Bollerslev, Li, Patton and Quaedvlieg (2020a) to allow for a finer decomposition of realized (co)variances. The new "realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249756
article is to compare the GARCH (Generalised Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) family models -GARCH (1.1), GJR-GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023967
We propose a new decomposition of the realized covariance matrix into components based on the signs of the underlying high-frequency returns. Under an asymptotic setting in which the sampling interval goes to zero, we derive the asymptotic properties of the resulting realized semicovariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116691
This paper introduces a multivariate kernel based forecasting tool for the prediction of variance-covariance matrices of stock returns. The method introduced allows for the incorporation of macroeconomic variables into the forecasting process of the matrix without resorting to a decomposition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823257
Employing both the mean-variance framework and the common portfolio risk-optimization, this study adds to the investment research by examining how ideal holdings for emerging and frontier markets (EFM) of the four global regions (Asian, Europe, and Commonwealth of Independent States (Eastern +...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391097