Showing 1 - 10 of 2,188
We show that the defining features of the Great Moderation were a shift from output volatility to medium-term fluctuations and a shift in the origin of those fluctuations from the real to the financial sector. We discover a Granger-causal relationship by which financial cycles attenuate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264907
The implementation of economic reforms under new economic policies in India was associated with a paradigmatic shift in monetary and fiscal policy. While monetary policies were solely aimed at "price stability" in the neoliberal regime, fiscal policies were characterized by the objective of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385761
of total inflation to price nominal Treasuries. This approach captures different frequencies in inflation fluctuations … a common structure of latent factors determines and predicts the term structure of yields and inflation. The model … outperforms popular benchmarks and is at par with the Survey of Professional Forecasters in forecasting inflation. Real rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114689
. The Fisher effect is brought into this escapade because interest rates generally trend positively with inflation. Botswana … has set her inflation target between 3-6% and this study attempts to determine inflation spillover effects from the United … Johansen cointegration procedure, as well as the Granger causality test. The results show that Botswana's inflation dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015045
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984047
We investigate the economic effects of three separate types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy using a factor augmented vector autoregression framework and 185 monthly macroeconomic indicators from 1978 to 2017. We find that while increases in the price of crude oil triggered by oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827557
This paper investigates the effect of inflation volatility on private sector credit growth. The results indicate that … private sector credit growth is positively linked to the one period lagged inflation volatility. Given that past monetary … positive response of private sector credit growth to past inflation volatility suggests a credible monetary policy regime in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853882
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980701
The US and other advanced countries suffered bursts of severe inflation in 2021 and the first half of 2022, followed by … declines of inflation later in 2022, in some countries. In times of high volatility of price determinants--cost and … productivity--inflation can jump upward and fall downward at high speed, contrary to the uniformly sticky behavior associated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014575253