Showing 1 - 10 of 4,151
with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that deterministic seasonality is an accurate model for the DJIA index but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673153
smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically time-varying and evolve in real time. We provide the associated …-tailed noise. A study of exchange rate returns sampled from 2010 to 2013 suggests that failing to factor in the seasonality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411344
smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically time-varying and evolve in real time. We provide the associated …-tailed noise. A study of exchange rate returns sampled from 2010 to 2013 suggests that failing to factor in the seasonality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007161
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327543
We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is the volatility of an Itô semi-martingale, which is discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a minimax-optimal test to discriminate different smoothness classes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477582
We propose semi-parametric CUSUM tests to detect a change point in the covariance structure of non-linear multivariate models with dynamically evolving volatilities and correlations. The asymptotic distributions of the proposed statistics are derived under mild conditions. We discuss the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945121
We propose a multivariate generalization of the multiplicative volatility model of Engle and Rangel (2008), which has a nonparametric long run component and a unit multivariate GARCH short run dynamic component. We suggest various kernel-based estimation procedures for the parametric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148178
This paper introduces new econometric tests to identify stochastic intensity jumps in high-frequency data. Our approach exploits the behavior of a time-varying stochastic intensity and allows us to assess how intensely stock market reacts to news. We describe the asymptotic properties of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406297
In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G)ARCH] in daily data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a LM test that is resistant to patches of additive outliers. The data span...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284080