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explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate … of employment growth to TFP shocks estimated from Census data induce significant skewness, movements in volatility and …
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In this paper, we discuss the time series properties of a novel daily series of aggregate employment creation and … duration, which seems to have exacerbated the spikes in employment flows over the calendar year. First, we identify calendar …, we investigate the importance of calendar effects for aggregate employment dynamics. We find that the employment growth …
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According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584095
We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility, estimate it with several variables for a large number of countries and decompose the variance of each variable in terms of contributions from uncertainty common to all countries (global uncertainty),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904508
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the variance of a large set of financial and macroeconomic variables for 22 OECD countries spanning from 1960 onwards into contributions from country-specific uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363