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This paper generalises Boswijk and Zu (2018)'s adaptive unit root test for time series with nonstationary volatility to a multivariate context. Persistent changes in the innovation variance matrix of a vector autoregressive model lead to size distortions in conventional cointegration tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026102
This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is the volatility of an Itô semi-martingale, which is discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a minimax-optimal test to discriminate different smoothness classes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477582
Understanding the jump dynamics of market prices is important for asset pricing and risk management. Despite their analytical tractability, parametric models may impose unrealistic restrictions on the temporal dependence structure of jumps. In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric inference...
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We propose a new nonparametric test to determine whether finite-activity jumps are present in a discretely observed price process. For a univariate Itô semimartingale, we introduce the concept of censored increments for observations recursively sampled at exit times with respect to a symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321639
This paper introduces new econometric tests to identify stochastic intensity jumps in high-frequency data. Our approach exploits the behavior of a time-varying stochastic intensity and allows us to assess how intensely stock market reacts to news. We describe the asymptotic properties of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406297
This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the exible quantile regression framework and rely on recently developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407475