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We show that the quotient of Levy processes of jump-diffusion type has a fat-taileddistribution. An application is to price theory in economics, with the result that fat tails ariseendogenously from modeling of price change based on an excess demand analysis resulting in aquotient of arbitrarily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242548
This study provides an original measure of how much of the new mortgage and small business lending is extended in areas with substantial risk of inundation. I find that since 2000 lenders have increased the share of small business and mortgage loans in census tracts with extended flood zones....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257023
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
We suggest using "realized volatility" as a volatility proxy to aid in model-based multivariate bond yield density … forecasting. To do so, we develop a general estimation approach to incorporate volatility proxy information into dynamic factor … models with stochastic volatility. The resulting model parameter estimates are highly efficient, which one hopes would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499535
diffusive volatility and squared jump variation. We use this result to develop a new option valuation model in which the … underlying asset price exhibits volatility and jump intensity dynamics. The volatility and jump intensity dynamics in the model … are directly driven by model-free empirical measures of diffusive volatility and jump variation. Because the empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377837
risky assets. The daily stock returns at Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) are characterized by high volatility and non …-Gaussian behaviors as well as they are extremely leptokurtic. The analysis of MSE time series stock returns determine volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456336
(2006), to determine the volatility spillovers between interest rates and stock returns for the US, the euro area, the UK …, and Japan. The investigation pays careful attention to volatility transmissions between stock returns and interest rates … causality is observed, the volatility spillover from interest rates to stock markets are more prominent for the full-sample, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101454
This paper examines volatility spillovers from changes in the size of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve (FED … most susceptible to positive volatility spillovers from both the FED and ECB in terms of magnitude. Positive volatility … about ten. By contrast, we find that EME stock markets are subject to negative volatility spillovers. Moreover, we find only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636172
This paper considers a simple Continuous Beliefs System (CBS) toinvestigate the effects on price dynamics of several behavioralassumptions: (i) herd behaviour; (ii) a-synchronous updating ofbeliefs; and (iii) heterogeneity in time horizons (memory) amongagents. The recently introduced concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334332