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We provide a simple and intuitive measure of interdependence of asset returns and/or volatilities. In particular, we formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates study of both non-crisis and crisis episodes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298351
Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … evidence on possible changes in the transmission mechanism (namely, on whether there is contagion) can be obtained by examining … spillovers between the three CEECs considered and the UK (contagion). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270472
This study compares two channels for global impact on local volatility: the direct channel in which global variables affect the expected value of local volatility but not its persistence, and a new channel in which global variables affect local volatility by changing its persistence over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835899
This study presents empirical evidence that volatility persistence and asymmetry are jointly affected by market conditions such as return and volatility. Using 28 equity market indices in developed and emerging countries, we show that daily volatility persistence increases with returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892699
We analyze comovements among three stock markets in Central and Eastern Europe and, in addition, interdependence which may exist between Western European (DAX, CAC, UKX) and Central and Eastern European (BUX, PX-50, WIG-20) stock markets. The novelty of our paper rests mainly on the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049163
This paper provides new empirical evidence on housing bubble timing, volatility spillover, and bubble contagion between … the multivariate time-varying DCC-GARCH model. Third, we assess bubble contagion by estimating a non-parametric model of …'s housing market. Moreover, we find evidence of volatility spillover effects and bubble contagion between Japan's real estate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622423
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
This paper analyzes the determinants of the volatility of different types of capital inflows to emerging countries. After calculating a variable that proxies capital flows volatility, we study its possible causality relations with a set of explanatory variables by type of flow through a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723297
This paper estimates switching autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (SWARCH) time series models for weekly returns of nine Asian forward exchange rates. We find two regimes with different volatility levels, whereby each regime displays considerable persistence. Our analysis provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718563
This paper uses multivariate GARCH techniques to study volatility spillovers between the Chinese non-deliverable forward market and seven of its Asia-Pacific counterparts over the period January 1998 to March 2005. To account for the time-variability of conditional correlation, a dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225310