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of ARCH effect has been tried to predict with conditional variance models such as ARCH (1), ARCH (2), ARCH (3), GARCH (1 …,1), GARCH (1,2), GARCH (1,3), GARCH (2,1), GARCH (2,2), EGARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,2). While the obtained findings indicate that … the best model is in the direction of GARCH (1,1) according to Akaike info criterion, it was found that GARCH (1,1) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models which are both extended to include … outperforms the GARCH model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324972
Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models which are both extended to include … outperforms the GARCH model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
This paper attempts to fit the best Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model for All Share … Index (ASI) of Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) returns. A search is made on various GARCH variants specified on the … and non-normality of GARCH innovations, with models and forecasts evaluated using information criteria and loss functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474661
traditional GARCH-type models (GARCH and GJR-GARCH) the two-regime Markov Switching GARCHtype models (MS-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … persistence of individual markets which substantially differed across the both regimes. Furthermore, the GJR-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … models clearly confirmed the presence of the leverage effect. Consideration of the MS-GARCH-type models enabled to capture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013499116
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)–class models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting accuracy … 2015. The results suggest that the Asymmetric Power of ARCH (APARCH) model is the most accurate model in the GARCH class …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
the best fitting model among SGARCH, EGARCH and GJR-GARCH. In a bid to account for the dynamic and persistent nature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501248
September 2012. This captures the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). The GARCH analysis features an exploration of … US. We also apply a Markov Switching GARCH model to explore the existence of regime changes during this period and we … also apply a tri-variate Cholesky-GARCH model to include potential effects from the Chinese market, as represented by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326245
The energy sector is one of the most important in the world, so that time series fluctuations in leading energy sources have been analysed widely. As the leading energy commodities are traded on international stock exchanges, the analysis of the fluctuations in stock and financial derivatives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441584
In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, and EUR/AUD. The results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900291