The paper elaborates on the employment intensity of growth. Previous evidence regarding this question is surveyed. Empirical results concerning Europe and selected other industrial countries reveal that the cyclical link between unemployment and growth is still stable in the nineties. However,...

This paper examines the effects of exchange rate volatility on the export of Turkey in the context of cointegration model over the monthly period of 1989:01-2002:08. The major results show that increases in the volatility of the real exchange rate, approximating exchange-rate uncertainty, exert...

This paper explores the impact of volatility estimation methods on theoretical option values based upon the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model. Volatility is the only input used in the BSM model that cannot be observed in the market or a priori determined in a contract. Thus, properly calculating...

From an analysis of the time series of volatility using recent high frequency data, Gatheral, Jaisson and Rosenbaum previously showed that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of order 0.1, at any reasonable time scale. The resulting Rough...

Range-based volatility estimators are analyzed in both daily and intraday sampling frequency and are also compared to the realized volatility estimator. The family of realized range-based estimators is extended as three range-based estimators are introduced. These three realized Parkinson...

This paper presents a new formalism to price European options in all asset classes that fits the market data remarkably well. We use a model-independent representation of European Option prices as path integrals over all of the underlying asset price from inception to maturity. The no arbitrage...

This paper proposes a new class of nonlinear interval models for interval-valued time series (ITS). By matching the interval model with interval observations, we develop a nonlinearminimum-distance estimation method for the proposed models, and establish the asymptotictheory for the proposed...

The financial industry has eagerly adopted machine learning algorithms to improve on traditional predictive models. In this paper we caution against blindly applying such techniques. We compare forecasting ability of machine learning methods in evaluating future payoffs on synthetic variance...

I examine the relative information roles among West Texas Intermediate spot crude price and four futures contracts (F1 through F4) with different maturities. Using a cointegrated system with a non-unitary cointegrating vector, I address price discovery by investigating which price is more...

The purpose of the regulated halts on stock exchange markets is to spread the information on the market and to protect the interests of the small shareholders. The aim of this work is to empirically investigate the price limits on the French stock exchange market. We analyze the impact of such...