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Non-parametric approach to financial time series jump estimation, using the L-Estimator, is compared with the parametric approach utilizing a Stochastic-Volatility-Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) model, estimated with MCMC and extended with Particle Filters to estimate the out-sample evolution of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964932
The recent implementation of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) in January 2005 created new financial risks for emitting firms. To deal with these risks, options are traded since October 2006. Because the EU ETS is a new market, the relevant underlying model for option pricing is still a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279482
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300507
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949627
This paper examines the contemporaneous spill-over effects among the CBOE implied volatility indices for stocks (VIX), gold (GVZ) and the exchange rate (EVZ). We use the 'identification through heteroskedasticity' approach of Rigobon (2003) to decompose the contemporaneous relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101919
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news on the dynamics of interest rates and stock returns during "low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our results suggest that securities volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
This paper studies inference for the realized Laplace transform (RLT) of volatility in a fixed-span setting using bootstrap methods. Specifically, since standard wild bootstraps provide inconsistent inference, we propose local Gaussian (LG) and modified wild (MW) bootstrap procedures, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843479
This paper characterizes the dynamics of jumps and analyzes their importance for volatility forecasting. Using high-frequency data on four prominent energy markets, we perform a model-free decomposition of realized variance into its continuous and discontinuous components. We find strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904046
This study investigates volatility spillovers to electric power from large exogenous shocks in the prices of gas, coal, and carbon emission allowances in the German energy market. Our sample ranges from 2008 to 2016 and covers periods of different market conditions. We use a general VAR-BEKK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969615
Following recent advances in the non-parametric realized volatility approach, we separately measure the discontinuous jump part of the quadratic variation process for individual stocks and incorporate it into heterogeneous autoregressive volatility models. We analyze the distributional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004411