This paper studies a Stieltjes-type moment problem defined by the generalized lognormal distribution, a heavy-tailed distribution with applications in economics, finance and related fields. It arises as the distribution of the exponential of a random variable following a generalized error...

We investigate the distributions of e-drawdowns and e-drawups of the most liquid futures financial contracts of the world at time scales of 30 seconds. The e-drawdowns (resp. e-drawups) generalise the notion of runs of negative (resp. positive) returns so as to capture the risks to which...

This paper studies a Stieltjes-type moment problem defined by the generalized lognormal distribution, a heavy-tailed distribution with applications in economics, finance and related fields. It arises as the distribution of the exponential of a random variable following a generalized error...

We present a theory of homogeneous volatility bridge estimators for log-price stochastic processes. The main tool of our theory is the parsimonious encoding of the information contained in the open, high and low prices of incomplete bridge, corresponding to given log-price stochastic process,...

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used to model the VIX (the Cboe Volatility Index). A 4- state Gaussian mixture is fitted to the VIX price history from 1990 to 2022. Using a growing window of training data, the price of the S&P500 is predicted and two trading algorithms are presented, based on the...

We present a highly mechanical method for the construction of implied volatility surface and implied transition probability density function that satisfies the no arbitrage condition(NAC) under missing data environment. This paper assumes a Dupire's model which is a simple extension of the...

We revisit well-known stochastic volatility models with constant coefficients for single asset driven by one factor stochastic volatility as homogeneous diffusion and demonstrate an alternative to the classifications provided in Albanese and Lawi, and Henry-Labord`ere, to deduce asset price...

We extend the arithmetic multi-factor electricity spot price model proposed by Benth, Kallsen & Meyer-Brandis by adding stochastic mean-level processes to their model and by taking additional information on the future behavior of these mean-level processes into account. The available...

We propose to use the transformed densities introduced in [1] to parametrise volatility smiles. We derive closed form formulas for European options to allow for an effective computation of implied volatilities