We derive and empirically test a theoretical link between exchange rate volatility and global equity correlations. Starting with option-implied currency volatilities, we use variants of existing currency models, global capital flows, international parity, the Taylor rule, and some simplifying...

In this paper, we assess whether key relations between US interest rates have been stable over time. This is done by estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury bill rate, the slope of the Treasury yield curve...

In this paper, we extend the standard Gaussian stochastic-volatility Bayesian VAR by employing the generalized hyperbolic skew Student's t distribution for the innovations. Allowing the skewness parameter to vary over time, our specification permits flexible modelling of innovations in terms of...

The purpose of the empirical research study is to analyze the volatility of OMX Tallinn Index in Estonia from 2002 to 2022 in three major period phases i.e. 2002-2008, 2009- 2015 and 2016 to 2022. Moreover, it attempted to formulate PARCH Model for each phases of OMX Tallinn Index in Estonia...

This paper first compares house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price dataset covering the period 1990- 2012. It is found that that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across...

In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using anew quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries...

In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronised across countries...

This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TG-VAR) to quantify the macroeconomic effects of Covid-19. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility at individual country levels in a significant...

This paper first compares house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price dataset covering the period 1990-2012. It is found that that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries...

The paper investigates exchange rate cycles and their relationship to the business cycle in 7 major emerging market economies. We document the presence of periodic cycles in nominal US-dollar exchange rates and show that these are closely aligned with cycle frequencies in real output. Joint...