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planning horizon using data from the 2002 through 2010 waves of Health and Retirement Study. Modigliani ratios were computed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030409
Human beliefs, while always remaining in equilibrium, serve as a an equilibrium selector and determine the degree of aggregate volatility. Fully rational and risk averse economic agents expect macro-level dynamics to be characterized by a specific degree of volatility. Given this expectation the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082991
Using new employer-employee matched data, this paper investigates the impact of uncertainty, as measured by …. Increased firm-level uncertainty reduces total compensation, especially variable pay, and workers reduce their durable goods … county-level uncertainty shock, we find that local uncertainty shocks reduce county-level durable consumption. Taken together …
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Our objective is to identify the trading strategy that would allow an investor to take advantage of excessive stock price volatility and sentiment fluctuations. We construct a general-equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two classes of agents and stock prices are excessively volatile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961073
This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in an overlapping generations economy. I find that introducing a zero-borrowing constraint in an economy without idiosyncratic risk increases the equity premium by 70 percent, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900994
. We explain this finding with a stochastic real business cycle growth model in which higher uncertainty of expected income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487744
We examine the effects of parameter uncertainty and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when all the … a power utility function, low risk aversion, and absence of persistence in growth rates. Raising the prior uncertainty … greater risk-free rate volatility. But raising the prior uncertainty on dividend growth rates has ambiguous effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931