This study uses an agent-based test bed (“AMES”)to investigate separation and volatility of locational marginalprices (LMPs) in an ISO-managed restructured wholesale powermarket operating over an AC transmission grid. Particular attentionis focused on the dynamic and cross-sectional response...

In this paper we discuss the implementation of general one-factor short rate models with a trinomial tree. Taking the Hull-White model as a starting point, our contribution is threefold. First, we show how trees can be spanned using a set of general branching processes. Secondly, we improve...

We present a theory of homogeneous volatility bridge estimators for log-price stochastic processes. The main tool of our theory is the parsimonious encoding of the information contained in the open, high and low prices of incomplete bridge, corresponding to given log-price stochastic process,...

In this paper, we present our study on using the GPU to accelerate the computation in pricing financial options. We first introduce the GPU programming and the SABR stochastic volatility model. We then discuss pricing options with quasi-Monte Carlo techniques under the SABR model. In particular,...

This study tests the theory that currency crises are associated with sudden large changes in the structure of foreign exchange market volatility. Due to increases in market uncertainty, crisis periods exhibit abnormally high levels of volatility. By studying short-term changes in volatility...

We consider the classical investment timing problem in a framework where the instantaneous volatility of the project value is itself given by a stochastic process, hence lifting the old question about the investment-uncertainty relationship to a new level. Motivated by the classical cases of...

We build on of the work of Henry-Labordµere and Lewis on the small-time behaviour of the return distribution under a general local-stochastic volatility model with zero correlation. We do this using the Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations for stochastic differential equations, and then...

Using the Gartner-Ellis theorem from large deviation theory, we characterize the leading-order behaviour of call option prices under the Heston model, in a new regime where the maturity is large and the log-moneyness is also proportional to the maturity. Using this result, we then derive the...

We show that if the discounted Stock price process is a continuous martingale, then there is a simple relationship linking the variance of the terminal Stock price and the variance of its arithmetic average. We use this to establish a model-independent upper bound for the price of a continuously...

In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the implied volatility function. The proof is based on...