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Portfolio risk estimation in volatile markets requires employing fat-tailed models for financial returns combined with … copula functions to capture asymmetries in dependence and an appropriate downside risk measure. In this survey, we discuss … how these three essential components can be combined together in a Monte Carlo based framework for risk estimation and …
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Sudden and uncertain events often cause cross-contagion of risk among various sectors of the macroeconomy. This paper … uncertainty risk on macroeconomics. Then, the high-dimensional DSGE model (DSGE-SV-t) is developed to examine the impact of … uncertainty risk on the transmission mechanism among macroeconomic sectors. The empirical research found that uncertainty risk …
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The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk … quantifying market risk by strictly relying on point-in-time measures cannot be deemed a satisfactory approach in general. Instead …, we argue that complementing this approach by studying measures of risk that capture the magnitude of losses potentially …
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This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
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