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We document a strong positive cross-sectional relation between corporate bond yield spreads and bond return volatilities. As corporate bond prices are generally attributable to both credit risk and illiquidity as discussed in Huang and Huang (2012), we apply a decomposition methodology to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772268
In this paper, I provide a structural approach to quantify the forces that govern the joint dynamics of corporate bond credit spreads and equity volatility. I build a dynamic model and estimate a wide array of fundamental shocks using a large firm-level database on credit spreads, equity prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929361
Most extant structural credit risk models underestimate credit spreads while matching default rates, recoveries, leverage, and equity risk premia - a shortcoming known as the credit spread puzzle. We calibrate and estimate a model able to explain medium to long-term credit spreads by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721554
Structural credit risk models have faced difficulties in matching observed market credit spreads while simultaneously matching default rates, recoveries, leverage and risk premia - a shortcoming that has become known as the credit spread puzzle. We ask whether stochastic asset volatility, as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238576
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009552228
This paper addresses this question with an asset-pricing model featuring endogenous corporate policies. Long-run risk reflects a firm's profit exposure to slowly-moving expected consumption growth, whereas short-run risk captures the exposure to frequent unexpected changes in consumption growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852955
In contrast to earlier decades, since the early 2000s, the average idiosyncratic volatility of stocks has fallen back to its pre-1990s level. Here, we examine whether decreasing volatility still helps to explain the cross-sectional variation of bond returns. Using a panel data of corporate bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921040
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities, and products, including variance swaps, straddles, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052257
A single factor that captures assets' exposure to business-cycle variation in macroeconomic uncertainty can explain the level and cross-sectional differences of asset returns. Specifically, based on portfolio-level tests I demonstrate that fluctuations in uncertainty with persistence ranging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014133052