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A large number of nonlinear conditional heteroskedastic models have been proposed in the literature. Model selection is crucial to any statistical data analysis. In this article, we investigate whether the most commonly used selection criteria lead to choice of the right specification in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297653
The paper proposes a new robust estimator for GARCH-type models: the nonlinear iterative least squares (NL-ILS). This estimator is especially useful on specifications where errors have some degree of dependence over time (weak-GARCH) or when the conditional variance is misspecified. I illustrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928873
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this articleit is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386121
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this article it is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128944
Econometric estimation using simulation techniques, such as the efficient method of moments, may betime consuming. The use of ordinary matrix programming languages such as Gauss, Matlab, Ox or S-plus will very often cause extra delay. For the Efficient Method of Moments implemented to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533201
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this article it is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325989
We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
This essay is aimed to provide a straightforward and sufficiently accessible demonstration of some known procedures for stochastic volatility model. It reviews the important related concepts, gives informal derivations of the methods and can be useful as a cookbook for a novice. The exposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137668
In this paper we analyze the limiting properties of the estimated parameters in a general class of asymmetric volatility models which are closely related to the traditional exponential GARCH model. The new representation has three main advantages over the traditional EGARCH: (1) It allows a much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723834