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shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
area economic activity, with one standard deviation increase in the identified uncertainty shock subtracting around 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011871462
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the U.K. economy has changed over time. To this end, we propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on key macroeconomic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897
This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
We provide novel evidence that technological news and uncertainty shocks, identified one at a time using VAR models as in the literature, are correlated; that is, they are not truly structural. We then proceed by proposing an identification scheme to disentangle the effects of news and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967370
response to uncertainty shocks, firms increase their markups, in line with the theory of self-insurance against being stuck …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373603
allow for low-frequency variation in the volatility of the shocks, and 2) the estimated degrees of freedom are quite low for … exclude the Great Recession from the sample. We also show that inference about low-frequency changes in volatility - and, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010219714
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to … assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent … consequences jointly, and most are based on single country models. We analyze the special case of a shock restricted to the Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213954